Mercury fans may be excited about their team’s chances, but the Chicago Sky were anticipated to have challenges this season, particularly in their quest for a playoff spot. Expectations were low from the outset due to a changing roster and a lack of depth. Unfortunately for Sky fans, the team’s performance in the first three games did little to shift the narrative. They have failed to establish rhythm on both sides of the court, and consistency remains a major worry.
One of their early matchups was against the Phoenix Mercury, who exposed Chicago’s defensive flaws and showed their lack of offensive firepower. The Mercury’s seasoned presence and scoring ability were too much for the Sky to handle. While it is still early in the season, the signals are not promising for a lengthy playoff run.
They’re 0-3 both straight up and against the spread, and a trip to the desert to face a strong Phoenix Mercury team is unlikely to end well.
For tonight’s Sky vs. Mercury predictions, I’ll skip the side and total in favor of a plus-money player prop.
Find out why I’m betting against Angel Reese with my top WNBA choices for Tuesday, May 27.
Sky vs Mercury Game Predictions
My Sky against Mercury’s best bet is Angel Reese Under 11.5 points (+105 at bet365).
Whether you like her or dislike her, Angel Reese is one of the most divisive ladies in the WNBA. She isn’t hesitant to express her opinions on any subject, and her “feud” with Caitlin Clark is hilarious.
From a basketball standpoint, where games are won and lost, Reese’s potential as a player is lacking.
She excels at rebounding from both ends of the court. She defends the hoop and cleans up the boards with relative ease. In fact, there may not be a better player in the NBA at grabbing offensive rebounds, and there’s a reason for that.
Putting aside her ability to clean up her teammates’ missed shots, Reese’s scoring abilities are restricted. Therefore, she cleans up a lot of her own.
Playing at the rim and shooting a total of 10/33 through three games this year, with 12, 2, and 13-point performances, is not ideal for a player who is expected to lead the team.
That is exactly what the stats say.
Now that we’ve factored in the opposition, the Phoenix Mercury, and the players who will most likely guard her, Alyssa Thomas and/or Satou Sabally, we have some worth in the prop market.
Thomas and Sabally are both talented basketball players who can score and defend. With Reese’s limited “bag,” I see the Chicago Sky playing around her rather than through her as they seek points to keep the game competitive.
Reese may have the rebounds, but he will not have the components to score.
Best Sky vs. Mercury Same-Game Parlay (SGP) Bets Today
Sure, Reese has exceeded this amount in two of the three games, but the shot volume and regularity are something we can rely on. She’s also awful from the free-throw line, shooting only 6 for 11.
For good measure, we’ll include Mercury -4.5 and their team total of more than 77.5 points.
The Mercury has the best defensive rating in the WNBA, with a true shooting percentage of 55% through four games. This is an offensively versatile club that should be able to contain a Sky team that is barely averaging 70 points per game.
Sky vs. Mercury trend
The Mercury have a 4-1 SU and ATS record in their previous five games against the Sky. View more WNBA betting trends for Sky vs. Mercury.
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